Why economists expect mortgage rates to stay above 7% into 2027
Housing economists cited by CNBC say mortgage rates above 7% look likely to persist, with Fannie Mae forecasting a 7.5% average in 2027.
Key facts
- Fannie Mae projects a 7.5% average mortgage rate in 2027, while the Mortgage Bankers Association sees rates holding above 7%.
- The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index, has not been below the 2% target since February 2021.
- Selma Hepp of Cotality points to heavy federal borrowing and artificial intelligence infrastructure spending as added competition for capital.
- Tom Graff of Facet says banks have pulled back from holding mortgage-backed securities after losses during the 2022-23 rate spike.
- Steve Kaminski of TD Bank notes the Fed is no longer actively buying mortgage-backed securities.
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Source: Mortgage rates above 7% are the 'new normal'—here's why — CNBC, October 26, 2026. Summary and commentary by RISE Community; read the full story at the source.
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